CSP XV: WEEK 8 OF 5DTE 1% ETF TRADES

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Expiration week 11Nov22. ETFs with weekly options, BarChart 1-month Performance Chart view.

Starting this week I’ll try to start noting the spot price, “juiciness” of the ATM Call option, volatility of the options for the given expiration week, and the Expected Move. The last 2 being the numbers shown on the Thinkorswim option chains at the upper right:

And juiciness being the Midpoint price of the ATM call that’s just OTM, divided by spot. For example, FAS (above) is at 73.28 over the weekend. The 74C B/A is 2.75/3.10, for a Midpoint of 2.92 (I’ll always round down when applicable). So: Juicieness = 2.92 / 73.28 = 3.9%.

Knowing Spot at the start of the week, you can subtract EM and see how safe the Put is I plan to sell. Knowing juiciness will let us see how far OTM I got to go to get “only” 1%/week return. And knowing Volatility should let us see its impact on juiciness.

FAS 73.28, 6.88, 3.9%, 102%

  • Sunday: 5-day low 68. Loaded the 15Δ 67.5P B/A 0.62/0.78 at 0.70.
  • Mon 0936: filled at 0.77. BTC At 25% (0.19), as usual.
  • Thu 0931: closed at 0.05. Much lower than the 0.19 I had set, probably because FAS went up a lot before regular market hours Thursday. Net credit 0.56, 0.8%.
  • Thu 1502: sold the 80P for 0.44.
  • Fri 0933: closed at 0.09. Net credit 0.33, 0.4%.
  • Fri 1214: sold the 83P for 0.19.
  • Fri 1346: closed at 0.04. Net credit 0.14, 0.17%. 1.3% for the week.

LABD 21.83, 3.44, 7.6%, 170%

  • Sun: called 5d support at 19. Loaded the 12Δ 18P 0.20/0.30 at 0.20.
  • Mon 0933: filled at 0.25.
  • Wed 1338: closed at 0.05. Net credit 0.19, 1.0%. Staged the 16Δ 21P at 0.25/0.35 for 0.25 for Thursday morning.
  • Thu 0931: filled at 1.20, which is 5.7%. LABD had dropped a lot because of the huge market rally, jacking up the Put option premiums. Had I not preloaded it, I wouldn’t have made this trade.
  • Fri morning: the LABD shares were put to me. Unusual to happen before the close.
  • Fri 1123: sold the 18Nov19.5C for 0.45. CB 19.50 – 0.19 – 1.19 – 0.44 = 17.68. Carries over into next week as a CC.

MSOS 11.00, 1.21, 3.3%, 119%

  • Sun: called 5d support at 10. Loaded the 20Δ 10P 0.15/0.20 at 0.15.
  • Mon 0931: filled at 0.25.
  • Fri AH: the BTC order went unfilled, so net premium 0.24, 2.4% for the week.

SQQQ 59.55, 7.06, 5.5%, 129%

  • called 5d support at 51.50. Loaded the 13Δ 51.5P 0.52/0.61 at 0.53.
  • Mon 0931: filled at 0.70.
  • Fri AH: SQQQ closed at 44.37, so the shares were put to me. CB 51.50 – 0.69 = 50.81. Goes into next week as a CC

XOP 155.52, 8.08, 2.3%, 57%

  • called 5d support at 149. Loaded the 24Δ 149P 1.42/1.57 at 1.49.
  • Mon open: XOP opened 1.46 higher (0.9%) than Friday’s close, so my staged order didn’t fill. And that order was exactly at what I perceived to be support, so I couldn’t go higher in strike to get 1%. So I sold TNA instead:

TNA

  • Mon 0947: I thought the chart was kind of “meh”, but the 5d low was 32.74, and the 31P worked, so I sold that for 0.37. I forgot to note what the delta was, or the other data. AH: 35.85, 3.28, 3.8%, 113%.
  • Tue 1049: that closed at 0.09. Net credit 0.26, 0.8%.
  • Tue 1104: sold the 20Δ 33.5P for 0.46. 36.99, 3.16, 3.9%, 113%
    • The 33P at 16Δ was the 1% strike, and I could’ve gotten 0.34 for it.
    • But I’ve decided to start something new: if I can move up to 20Δ I might, especially if the support level criteria is still met, and the strike is outside the EM.
    • 20Δ is pretty safe from being assigned, but even if assigned, I’m finding it’s not too hard to sell CCS and still make 1% per week.
    • So here I could’ve gotten exactly 1.0% out of the 33P at 0.34 (after the 1c commission), but by going up to the next strike at 20Δ I was able to get 1.34%, or a third more profit on the trade.
    • The 5d low at 32.74 seems to make the 33.5P unsafe, but TNA has moved up 1.10 already today, so bring up support the same amount and you’re at 33.84, above the 33.5P.
    • And spot minus EM is 33.83, which is above 33.50, so “the stats” indicate that’s pretty safe.
  • Thu 0933: closed at 0.10. Net credit 0.34, 1.0%.
  • Thu 1505: sold the 36.5P for 0.24.
  • Fri 0931: closed at 0.05. Net credit 0.18, 0.5%.
  • Fri 1221: sold the 38.5P for 0.09.
  • Fri 1540: closed at 0.01. Net credit 0.07, 0.18%. Here I was just goofing around, but I made enough in 3.3 hours to be almost a whole day’s worth of return (1% divided by 5 days is 0.2% per day). 2.4% for the week.

901 thoughts on “CSP XV: WEEK 8 OF 5DTE 1% ETF TRADES”

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