CC IV: 7 trades Week of 9/26/22

In the last post I walked through strike selection for TNA. Now I have 6 more of last week’s assigned CSPs to sell CCs on. Here’s how those positions stand going into the Covered Call side of The Wheel on them:

  • FAS closed Friday at 58.60, and was “put” to me at 64. I collected 1.55 in premiums selling puts on it, so the trade is down by (64 – 58.60) – 1.55 = $3.85 per share.
  • JNUG closed at 22.65, assigned at 23. Premiums of 0.68, so the trade is actually positive by 0.33, 1.4% of 2300 collateral.
  • SOXL closed 10.03, assigned 10.50. Premiums 0.23, down by 0.24.
  • TQQQ closed 21.31, assigned at 23. Premiums 0.67, down by 1.02.
  • UPRO closed 31.20, assigned at 35. Premiums 1.18, down by 2.62.
  • YINN closed 44.79, assigned at 46. Premiums 0.48, down by 0.73.

And to close the loop, TNA, which I dissected in the last post, closed at 29.72 and was put to me at 34. Premiums 0.91, so this position is down by 3.37. In that post I walked through how I chose to sell a call at the 28Δ 33 strike, to start trying to recover this trade. Next I’ll make some notes about what I’ll be doing with the other six trades.

But first, I need to talk about “cost basis” For FAS, I showed the calcs above to figure out that it’s down $3.85 per share. I did it that way because when I was breaking down the TNA trade in the last post I wanted to show how many dollars needed to be made to cover the current loss, and then compare this week’s sold call premium against that, and sort of estimate how many weeks it might take to recover. That works, and you can keep track of that number, lowering it each time you sell a call. But what’s probably easier is the trade’s cost basis.

Cost basis is just the price at which you were “put” the stock, minus the premiums collected when it was a CSP. Like this: CB = Put strike – premiums. Then you can compare that number, which will change as you sell more premium, to the spot price to see how the trade stands. You could also call it the Breakeven point and it would mean the same thing.

So for FAS: CB = 64.00 – 1.55 = 62.45. That’s the breakeven price because if the FAS shares I’m holding were to rise to 62.45, I’d add the 1.55 of premiums to it and see that that’s 64.00, the price at which I bought the stock when it was put to me. Simple enough? So now, as I continue to hold FAS and sell calls against it, those premiums/credit will be applied to the CB to lower it week after week. So even if FAS were to stay flat, you can see that each time you sell premium you’re lowering CB, until at some point CB is less than spot, and you can sell the stock and won’t have lost anything.

You won’t have gained anything either, though. So either continue to sell calls for profit, and also maybe benefit from stock price appreciation, or sell the shares and re-deploy that capital back into cash secured puts. That’s what I prefer, because I’ve been burned too many times holding supposedly good stocks to sell CCs against, then having them drop for no particular reason. When a stock price drops it can wipe out many weeks of covered call premium, so I prefer to not hold stocks/ETFs, but rather focus on the Puts side of The Wheel. And that “single-issue risk” is why I prefer ETFs to stocks: being a basket of stocks, they’re not subject as much to bad news from a single company.

Back to FAS: CB is 62.45, and Friday’s close was 58.60. Compare them and you’ll see the trade is upside down by 3.85. Which of course is the same value I had before, because it’s all the same numbers: spot, put, and premiums. It just depends on how you want to look at them. So with that 3.85 current loss in mind, let’s go to the Call options for FAS:

Calls for this Friday’s expiration, 30Sep. I highlighted the 62C row because that’s our Breakeven strike. “But Mike @10DT, you told us above that our CB/BE was 62.45! If we sell at 62 won’t we lose money?” Very astute, grasshopper, but no, we won’t. This is key, so pay attention.

If we sold the 62 Call, AND if FAS finished the week at 62.01, our shares would be bought for 62, which does look like a loss. But don’t forget the premium from the call we sold! B/A is 0.70/0.82, so we could probably sell that 62C for 0.76. We then get to subtract that from our CB of 62.45 to get a new CB of 61.69, which is less than the 62 that FAS would get called away at, and voila, we’re out of the stock and we made a little money to boot. If that’s not clear, read through it again and work it out on your own, because being able to do this will help immensely.

This Monday morning when I was setting that trade up (I was rushed because I hadn’t set these trades up Sunday like I should have), I actually made that rookie mistake of picking the 63C, because it was above BE. So don’t do that (assuming you want to get out of the stock). But it looks like the market is giving me another crack at it.

It’s 12:35 Monday and I see that the 63C at 28Δ I sold for 1.26 is now only worth 0.49. But why is that? Because FAS has dropped 3.28! Remember how I said that the stock or ETF price going down would overpower any premiums you earned? This is that: FAS is down 3.02 in three hours, but the 1.26 premium I received is for the whole week, assuming I take it to expiration and it expires worthless. That premium, even up pretty high at 28Δ, is more than twice wiped out by the drop in the “underlying” (FAS).

So let me go buy-to-close that and then choose a lower-strike call to sell.

Done, I bought it back for 0.48. Netted 0.76 premium after commissions, which I deduct from CB for a new CB of 61.69. But spot is 55.21, so I have some work to do. Current Call options:

With CB at 61.69, the 62C at 19Δ would be perfectly safe to sell because if it got called away, 62 is above CB, plus I’d keep the 0.63 credit. But I want out of this trade, and that’s the newbie mistake I discussed earlier. So the 61C at 23Δ is better. If called away at 61, the 0.83 credit puts it above CB, so the whole trade for last week and today would be a wash.

I think it’s always pretty safe to go up to 30Δ, so that 60C at 28Δ looks good to me. But the market started falling hard today at about 10:30, and I suspect FAS might continue to fall in the short term, so I cheated a bit and went with the 32Δ 59C, selling it at the midpoint of 1.32. So now we just watch it. But I did put in a “Good Till Cancelled” “Buy To Close” (GTC BTC) order at 0.64, so as long as FAS doesn’t rise and breach 59 by Friday, that order should close the trade automatically.

You should always have a take-profit point, where you put in a GTC BTC order at some percentage of max theoretical profit. I use 50%, as do many others, including TastyTrade. Maybe more on that in <this post>.

JNUG was an easy one, being positive by 0.33 coming into this week. Friday’s close was 22.65, and CB was 22.32. So I chose to sell the 23C for 0.95, and because the market is falling so fast today, that closed at 13:58 for 0.45. So that’s 0.48 net premium that lowers CB to 21.84. I was expecting a rise of 0.35 to hit the 23 strike in a day or two, max profit for a CC, but with the market falling so hard, JNUG is down $2.17, to ~20.50. So like I pointed out earlier, here’s a nice premium, 0.95, that’s dwarfed by the 2.17 loss on the ETF. But I can sell another call, and with CB at 21.84, the 21C at 50Δ for 1.20 midpoint will work nicely. It filled at the Bid, 1.15. CB now 20.69, with spot 20.73 at 14:12, so the trade is slightly positive again.

SOXL closed Friday at 10.03, and CB is 10.27, so it shouldn’t be a hard one. Because I just wanted out of the trade, I sold the Call closest to “the money” without being in “the money”. In other words, I sold the “at the money” (ATM) call. That was the 10.5C at 41Δ, and I got 0.49 for it. As above for JNUG, I was expecting a rising ETF price to hit the strike and take me out at $10.50, plus keeping the 0.49 credit, PLUS the price appreciation from 10.03 to 10.50, 0.47, which is just about the same as the premium received. But SOXL is falling, so I may get to double-dip on if the current call closes automatically.

TQQQ closed Friday at 21.31, CB 22.33. Sold the 23C at 30Δ for 0.55. In retrospect I should’ve sold sold the 22.5C, because that would clearly cover my CB, regardless of what the premium was. And maybe even the 22C if I could’ve gotten 0.33 for it. But here we are. CB is now 21.79.

UPRO closed Friday at 31.20, CB 33.82. Sold the 33C at 31Δ for 0.65. If I get assigned at 33 I’ll be slightly below CB, which is now 33.17, but I felt like that was worth cheating the 30Δ limit a little bit. Going farther out to 34C would’ve been safer, but let’s see what happens.

YINN closed Friday at 44.79, CB 45.52. Sold the 46C right ATM at ~50Δ (YINN opened at 45.97) for 3.20, so CB is now 42.80. That very healthy premium should make a nice return if YINN gets called away Friday. or barring that, protects me against a $3 drop in the ETF’s price.

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